Wednesday, March 2, 2011

CQB Lessons

I took the CQB trade after reading a SumZero-sent .pdf on CQB and banana prices. I then opened a trade on CQB as follows:

Date/Time
Description
Amount
Net Cash Balance


02/28/2011 09:31:37
Bought 100 CQB @ 16.76

-1,685.99
---


02/28/2011 09:34:12
Bought 12 CQB Mar 19 2011 18.0 Call @ 0.69

-846.99
---


02/28/2011 09:40:24
Bought 300 CQB @ 17.15

-5,154.99
---


02/28/2011 09:46:29
Bought 7 CQB Apr 16 2011 19.0 Call @ 0.65

-470.24
---


02/28/2011 09:49:15
Bought 7 CQB Apr 16 2011 18.0 Call @ 1.09

-778.24
---


03/01/2011 11:30:05
Bought 9 CQB Mar 19 2011 15.0 Put @ 0.45

-421.74
---


03/02/2011 16:37:38
Sold 200 CQB @ 14.82

2,953.95
---








So this is my analysis of this trade as I recounted it to KTA:

Sent at 4:20 PM on Wednesday
Chan: sold my cqb
as expected
bad numbers
at least on the surface
i learned quite a few lessons::

1) I didn't check the other sources, and do additional research. I checked S@ just now, and apparently some big trader dropped close to 450k puting huge amounts of April 16 puts!
I SHOULD HAVE checked S@ as well as a few other sources.

2) I chased the stock when I was trying to get in.

3) I didn't buy puts at the same time, should I should have.

4) I should have lightened up 50% or so, when FDP numbers came out. By the the thesis was already 50% dead.

5) My technicals were right. Volume and price do NOT lie. I didn't obey them well enough.
kaythiaung05: uh huh

Chan: 6) On the bright side, a) I kept my size small, and b) I hedged with puts, so I am still not as badly hurt as I could have been.
kaythiaung05: u still keeping ur puts?

Chan: 7) Next time if you are gonna play an earnings trade, keep ur size small! and HEDGE!

Especially for volatility-prone stocks like
high flyers momentum stocks
or
these known volatile food producers

8) I didn't keep the size small enough! NO MONEY MANAGEMENT!

9) I am overtrading! After my excitement at SLV trade and talking to Kevin and Melody, I am overtrading a bit too much.

10) NEED TO KEEP STOPS. DO it tonight.

11) STOP using MARGIN!